Value for money table
Every league match is given a probability of a win, a draw and a loss, based on the two clubs’ estimated wage bills and squad values. The table compares the points clubs have won with the points they were expected to win. Updated after every round.
The table
An earlier round.
More points than expectedFewer points than expected
| # | Club | Points | Expected points | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  BrightonBrighton | 22 | 12 | 201 |
| 2▲ 6 |  Leeds UnitedLeeds United | 14 | 8 | 159 |
| 2– |  Hull CityHull City | 11 | 5 | 159 |
| 4– |  EvertonEverton | 16 | 11 | 154 |
| 5▼ 2 |  Ipswich TownIpswich Town | 11 | 7 | 142 |
| 6▲ 1 |  ArsenalArsenal | 27 | 23 | 139 |
| 7▼ 1 |  Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 6 | 134 |
| 8▼ 3 |  BrentfordBrentford | 14 | 11 | 130 |
| 9– |  BournemouthBournemouth | 15 | 12 | 128 |
| 10▲ 3 |  SunderlandSunderland | 8 | 8 | 97 |
| 11– |  FulhamFulham | 10 | 12 | 81 |
| 12– |  Aston VillaAston Villa | 13 | 15 | 76 |
| 13▼ 3 |  Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 24 | 70 |
| 14▲ 5 |  Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 12 | 68 |
| 15▼ 1 |  Crystal PalacePalace | 7 | 11 | 64 |
| 16▲ 1 |  LiverpoolLiverpool | 18 | 23 | 51 |
| 17▼ 2 |  Tottenham HotspurTottenham | 12 | 19 | 33 |
| 18– |  Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| 19▼ 3 |  ChelseaChelsea | 16 | 24 | 24 |
| 20– |  Manchester UnitedMan United | 8 | 20 | 0 |
The data behind this table
The probabilities run on our own wage estimates and player valuations. We use the same data to build models and analysis for clubs, leagues and those who advise, fund and study them.